My own opinion is that it's not worth much to argue over the boundaries around a vague term like 'religion,' and of course the question should not be 'Does the Singularity hypothesis share some features with religious hypotheses' but instead 'Is the Singularity hypothesis plausible, and what are its likely consequences?'

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There is a subset of the pro-Singularity individuals that is acting in an a very religious fashion. See prior discussion here where ata pointed to the Singularity 2045 Facebook group which includes the text:

To raise awareness of the Singularity, which is expected to occur no later than the year 2045, we must reach out to everyone on the 1st day of every month.

At 20:45 hours (8:45pm) or earlier on the 1st day of each month we will send SINGULARITY MESSAGES to friends or strangers.

Example message:

"Nanobot revolution, AI aware, technological utopia: Singularity2045."

Year 2045 is our deadline for the Singularity. Heightened awareness will ensure the Singularity happens sooner rather than later. Our goal is to make the Singularity happen by 2045 at the latest.

This isn't just a small group of random people either. Michael Anissimov and Aubrey de Grey are both administrators.

I would hope this is simply a case of both of these individuals joining any singularity-related FB groups for PR, and the original admin seeing this and granting them admin privileges.

1Kevin13y
Yup.
9benelliott13y
Does anyone know where the 2045 figure came from? Is there anything more to it than "hmm, we need a date that's distant enough to not strain plausibility but close enough that most people expect to still be alive".
9CarlShulman13y
The exact number is Kurzweil's predicted date from his book "The Singularity is Near."
4benelliott13y
Well, I suppose that answer's the question of why the facebook group uses it. Any idea why Kurzweil chose it? Was there any kind of quantitative thinking involved? I'm not accusing anyone, its a question that currently leaves me puzzled, so I'd be interested in seeing if he has any kind of justification.
8CarlShulman13y
Projecting his double exponential growth of computer hardware he gets total computations by computers exceeding computations in human brains (using his estimate) by a factor of a billion around then I think.
1benelliott13y
Thanks, I'll have to look into it further.
6JoshuaZ13y
It is one of the more common times for the Singularity. Timtyler made a graph a while ago of Singularity claims and I think that the mean was around 2040. I suspect that you've hit part of what is going on, as well as general wishful thinking. This SMBC seems relevant.
5ata13y
I was similarly somewhat alarmed by that when I found it, but I think for the most part it's just one very (um...) enthusiastic person. (curiousepic (below) is almost certainly correct about why some non-crazy persons are administrators of the Facebook group.) I'd bet that nobody actually does the monthly 20:45 SINGULARITY MESSAGES thing.
2Vladimir_Nesov13y
This particular failure doesn't include the further hundreds of people who joined.
1[anonymous]13y
Admin on Facebook isn't opt-in, it's more like they clicked "yes" when invited to join the group and then the group creator set them as admins in order to increase the status of his group.

Myself, I am less disturbed by people taking the Singularity as if it were the Rapture than I am by people taking the Singularity as if it were just the excuse they needed to feel happy about slacking off and underachieving.

"The Singularity is my retirement plan", that sort of thing. Ew.

5wedrifid13y
"The Singularity is my retirement plan" is actually a rational attitude to have given a slight possibility of a successful singularity. This should be a motivating factor not an excuse for slacking. "You can't take it with you" and "you're going to die anyway" stop being legitimate excuses. It prompts desperate action.

There are different questions here:

In case of Singularity, neither of these senses is trivial. Quite a few Singularity believers are cult material, and there are senses of "Singularity" that are clearly wrong.

Well, it might conceivably be worth asking the question "Does the Singularity hypothesis share enough features with religious hypotheses that organizations dedicated to thinking about it run a significant risk of demonstrating other attributes of religious/theological organizations?"

Along with the related "If so, would that be a bad thing, and what could we do to mitigate that risk?"

That said, my own answers are "Not especially, although some of the same sorts of people who would otherwise be attracted to religious concept-cluster... (read more)

8Vladimir_M13y
You're forgetting the most important aspect of the issue. If there is a problem with technology-related existential risk, then it's important to get high-status people to understand it and take it seriously. However, if the issue is automatically associated in the public mind with low-status people and presumed crackpots, this will become far more difficult. It doesn't matter how good a case you have that the problem is serious, if its very mention will trigger people's crackpot heuristics and make them want to distance themselves from you for fear of low-status contamination.
3TheOtherDave13y
I suppose. Though it seems like the easiest way to engage with that aspect is from the other direction: figure out what the high-status "paint" is and start engaging in discussions of the issue using that paint. Though if "the Singularity" is already tarred with low status, then presumably this isn't the right location to do that.

Wally Weaver: You see, at the time I was misquoted. I never said 'The Super-man exists and he is American', what I said was 'God exists and he is American'. Now if you begin to feel an intense and crushing feeling of religious terror at the concept, don't be alarmed. That indicates only that you are still sane. (Watchmen)

There is something to it.

There's a rather uncommon theological position - espoused by Paolo Soleri (and perhaps by others) - that God, the rapture, etc. are better regarded as a potential future, as something we have a responsibility to create, than as something pre-existing; in this view, religious texts can be viewed as imperfect but still visionary accounts of what such a thing might look like. The Singularity hypothesis seems to fit better in this model of religion than in more mainstream models. Soleri's theology seems far less pathological than religions tend to be, since it calls for both concrete action and accurate models of reality, so maybe this isn't such a bad thing.

The line I came up with, when asking the question to myself, was this: If the singularity is a religion, it is the only religion with a plausible mechanism of action.

Religion isn't just a set of "hypotheses", though; it's also a set of human social behaviors. Religions entail various sorts of group and individual practices — such as worship ritual, fellowship, prayer or meditation, study of received texts, adherence to charismatic leaders, moral correction of "straying" members, instruction of children, evangelism of adults, rites of passage (including baptisms, weddings, and funerals), financial support of institutions and leaders, and so forth.

Not every "religion" has all of these, and s... (read more)

[+]JohnH13y-60