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ejacob's Shortform

by ejacob
21st Feb 2021
1 min read
6

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ejacob's Shortform
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[-]ejacob5y210

A nasal spray approved for use in Europe and Israel shows moderate signs of protection against coronavirus infection. Taffix spray creates a physical barrier around nasal mucosa and reduces pH for hours after use, which may reduce the ability of viruses to bind and replicate.

Very strong effect shown in vitro; less strong but still detectable effect shown in vivo.

Paper: https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-100328/v2

JPost Article: https://www.jpost.com/health-science/israeli-made-nasal-spray-reduced-covid-infection-at-mass-gathering-659601

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[-]ejacob4y*170

A note to anyone looking to lie for a booster shot: I tried to be clever and tell the pharmacist I needed a second Moderna dose (both so i wouldn't be pressed into getting another dose afterward and so I could insist on Moderna). I then had to prove my first dose was also Moderna which i obviously couldn't do, so i was refused a dose (yes, really.) When i asked, the pharmacist confirmed that if I'd asked for a first dose instead i would have gotten it. So don't be clever, just pretend you were hesitant and now you are getting over it.

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[-]ejacob4y40

Is anyone aware of an online platform for making private forecasting tournaments / prediction markets with play money? Ideally I want to send someone a link, have them make an account, and then have access to a group of private questions I've made.

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[-]Yoav Ravid4y40

I would ask manifold markets to implement that feature, if they haven't already.

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[-]ejacob4y10

Thanks! I thought manifold had already done this, but couldn't find the feature when I went to look for it. I'll check again and then contact them if I still don't see it. Among the players I know they seem the most likely to be interested in doing it.

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[-]ejacob5y40

I got a text from a neighbor asking to borrow a bathroom scale. When I gave it to him, he immediately weighed himself and was relieved that he was overweight enough to qualify for a covid-19 vaccine he had just booked. As a result of our prioritization scheme, we've created a negative-sum contest where we encourage an already overweight population to maintain or increase their weight for a chance at an earlier vaccination.

This country is frustrating sometimes.

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63Why aren't we all using Taffix?