has this been considered before?
A small govt argument for UBI is 'UBI is paying people to take care of themselves, rather than letting the government take care of people inefficiently'.
The sequences can be distilled down even further into a few sentences per article.
Starting with "The lens that sees its flaws": this distils down to: "The ability to apply science to our own thinking grants us the ability to counteract our own biases, which can be powerful." Statement by statement:
The tool I am using to distill the sequences is an outliner: a nested bulleted list that allows rearranging of bullet points. This tool is typically used for writing things, but can similarly be used for un-writing things: taking a written article in and deduplicating its points, one bullet at a time, into a simpler format. An outliner can also collapse and reveal bullet points.
Rewriting the sequences to make them shorter would be very useful IMHO. But I prefer reading normal text to bullet points, especially if it would be a long text (such as rewriting the entire sequences).
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/n5TqCuizyJDfAPjkr/the-baby-eating-aliens-1-8
There's an alien race in the above called the baby-eaters who eat their sentient offspring because this alien species is genetically unfortunate enough to produce thousands of immediately-sentient offspring at a time, and therefore they must cull their offspring.
More and more each day I think we are becoming like baby-eaters. Except of course we don't murder our offspring by directly consuming them.
What is murder? What is consumption? It is the reclaiming of productive resource and the denial of future growth. When a poor person, having lived through years of their life giving what little they must to society in order to survive, dies on the street, there is another person that has been eaten by society.
We are eating each other, and often by the time someone has reached their preteens we know that they will be one of the ones that will be eaten. Therefore, in many ways, we are becoming baby-eaters.
However unlike the baby-eaters, not all of our society has normalized baby-eating to the point that we cannot see it as anything other than unquestionably good.
What would we ask of the baby-eaters? How should we act today?
When a poor person, having lived through years of their life giving what little they must to society in order to survive, dies on the street, there is another person that has been eaten by society.
At least with respect to today's western societies, this seems off-key to me. It makes it sound as if living and dying on the street is simply a matter of poverty. That may be true in poor overpopulated societies. But in a developed society, it seems much more to involve being unable (e.g. mental illness) or unwilling (e.g. criminality) to be part of the ordinary working life.
What would we ask of the baby-eaters?
You'll have to be clearer about which people you mean. Baby-eating here is a metaphor, for what exactly? Older generation neglecting the younger generation, or even living at their expense? Predatory business practices? Focusing on your own prosperity rather than caring for others?
Anyone remember a series of quick shorts posted by alexander scott (i think?) which includes a nation which includes prediction markets in its political process and a dictator takes over by opening a market that he will become the dictator in the next election cycle?
I recently heard that thinking out loud is an important way for people to build trust (not just for LLMs) and this has helped me become more vocal. It has unfortunately not helped me become more correct, but I'm betting the tradeoff will be net positive in the long run.
we will never have a wealth tax because pirate games, so marry the rich v2
original: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/G5qjrfvBb7wszBgWG/daijin-s-shortform?commentId=4b4cDSKxfdxGw4vBH
1. why have a wealth tax?
we should tax unearned wealth because the presence of unearned wealth disincentivises workers who would otherwise contribute to society. when we tax unearned wealth, the remaining wealthy people are people who have earned their wealth; and so we send a signal 'the best way for you to be privately wealthy is for your work to align with public utility maximisation' which privately incentivises work which helps increase utility.
unearned wealth includes: hereditary wealth, wealth due to being at the right place at the right time (you just so happened to buy a tract of land that contains your nation's entire supply of unobtanium / you just so happened to found a company that became the dominant news outlet for the entire world when other similar but less well timed companies failed)
on my original point about monopolies: monopolies are a special case of ^above. The loss of utility due to monoplies is recognised by economists as deadweight loss.
2. why will [countries where the game-theory supports the creation of ultrarich people] never have a wealth tax because pirate games?
Suppose a whole bunch of us got together and demanded that wealthy oligarchs pay a wealth tax. the wealthy oligarchs could instead take a small amount of money and bribe 51% of us to defect, while keeping their money piles. therefore we will never have a wealth tax.
re [countries where the game-theory supports the creation of ultrarich people]: nicky case's wonderful interactive game theory primer tells us that the specific payoffs/noise in zero sum games decide which strategies (cooperate, defect) tend to survive. I suspect countries with ultrawealthy tend to have payoff/noise combos that result in dominant strategies that would participate in pirate games
but hang on, what about the democracies that do have wealth taxes?
> Norway recently tried to increase their wealth tax. a whole bunch of rich people left Norway. I do not constitute this as a successful raising of the wealth tax
> [wikipedia] at its peak, only 12 countries have a wealth tax, representing as a whole less than 6% of global GDP; they are exceptions not rules (Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland)
3. what to do instead? marry rich
this is not easy. EA consultants are in some ways marrying rich people.
Paying the (ongoing, repeated) pirate-game blackmail ("pay us or we'll impose a wealth tax") IS a form of wealth tax. You probably need to be more specific about what kinds and levels of wealth tax could happen with various counterfactual assumptions (without those assumptions, there's no reason to believe anything is possible except what actually exists).
less than 6% of global GDP; they are exceptions not rules (Austria, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland)
It is 16%, not 6%.
(Approximately, Germany is 4.7% of global GDP, France is 3.1%, Italy 2.2%, Spain 1.5%, Netherlands 1.1%, Switzerland 0.9%, Sweden 0.6%, Austria and Norway 0.5% each, Denmark 0.4%, Finland 0.3%.)
Applied to a local scale, this feels similar to the notion that we should employ our willpower to allow burnout as discussed here
Superstimulus should be avoided because
Please write a reply if you are downvoting me. I want to hear from you, you seem to have something to add.
we will never have a wealth tax because pirate games.
why have a wealth tax? excess wealth is correlated with monopolies which are a failure to maximise utility. therefore wealth taxes would help increase total utility. monopolies include but are not limited to family wealth, natural monopolies, social network monopolies.
however, suppose a whole bunch of us got together and demanded that wealthy oligarchs pay a wealth tax. the wealthy oligarchs could instead take a small amount of money and bribe 51% of us to defect, while keeping their money piles.
therefore we will never have a wealth tax.
what to do instead? marry rich