[ Question ]

Equilibrium point of the social evolution under the selective pressure of COVID-19?

by Yandong Zhang1 min read21st Apr 20204 comments

-3

Coronavirus
Personal Blog

As discussed and analyses in the below posts, "enough people wearing respirators" could be an equilibrium point of the final social evolution under the selective pressure of COVID-19, because people wearing resprator (and gloves) could block the propagating path of the virus and lead to smarespiratorll R0.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/oHT2WZxFA9CSPMicb/the-hammer-and-the-mask-a-call-to-action
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/yKYg6D7HNxLuJDcLS/hammer-and-mask-wide-spread-use-of-reusable-particle

Could
anybody provide other candidates of the final equilibrium point?

New Answer
Ask Related Question
New Comment

1 Answers

Most equilibria aren't "final", though some may last quite awhile. Candidates for some longer-term equilibria (not in desirability nor likelihood order):

  • Innoculation/immunization works well, and infrastructure for frequent updates for variants is solid.
  • Pervasive low-level infection. Most people get it at some point, and get each variant as it shows up. The vast majority survive.
  • Humans become extinct, or fall to such low population and tech levels that the virus dies out.
  • Herd immunity. Enough survivors that it becomes very rare and dies out.

It's not clear that "wearing respirators" is anything but a transition, and an extension of time to minimize the pain while getting to an actual long-term situation.