LESSWRONG
LW

Adam B's Shortform

by Adam B
8th Jan 2025
1 min read
3

3

This is a special post for quick takes by Adam B. Only they can create top-level comments. Comments here also appear on the Quick Takes page and All Posts page.
Adam B's Shortform
1Adam B
1CstineSublime
2Adam B
3 comments, sorted by
top scoring
Click to highlight new comments since: Today at 7:08 AM
[-]Adam B8mo10

Predict your 2025: a website for recording probabilistic forecasts about your life and the world in the next year.

Reply
[-]CstineSublime8mo10

How does this work? I can't see any screenshots or videos that show the website interface.

Reply
[-]Adam B8mo20

Here's what the question creation interface looks like – you can create any question, and there's a bunch of suggestions to help you get started:

 

Here's what it looks like when you've created some questions. I made these predictions with my partner, so you can see her predictions on the question that's expanded:

 

For more info, I'd suggest just using the website itself. It is designed to be super easy to use and self-describing!

The website is part of Fatebook, a tool for rapidly tracking predictions. Predict Your Year is a specialised page for creating yearly predictions (which is a popular activity for many people, e.g. inspired by Scott Alexander's annual prediction posts). You can read more about Fatebook in this LessWrong post.

Reply1
Moderation Log
More from Adam B
View more
Curated and popular this week
3Comments