What do people think of this preprint from March 13th?
- R0=~5 in Wuhan in January (pre-containment measures)
- Infection fatality rate=~0.1% (several orders of magnitude smaller than the crude CFR estimated at 4.19%)
- ~2 million infections in Wuhan on Jan 23rd / ~20% of people infected
If this is true, might there be many more (asymptomatic) cases everywhere now than people think?
"Recently more evidence suggests that a substantial fraction of the infected individuals with the novel coronavirus show little if any symptoms, which suggest the need to reassess the transmission potential of this emerging disease"