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I remember seeing someone say a few years ago that there are three regimes for comparing humans and AIs.
- Horizon. AI with unbounded time matches a human given time t. This saturates at infinity once the AI can do everything humans can.
- Exchange rate. AI given t1 matches a human given t2.
- Superintelligence. AI given time t matches a human given unbounded time.
Does anyone remember where this is from? It seems kinda relevant now METR time-horizons has saturated, and we’re relying on no-CoT time-horizons. You can replace time with other kinds of resource, e.g. compute, money, parallel copies.
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