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Progress links and tweets, 2023-06-28: “We can do big things again in Pennsylvania”

by jasoncrawford
28th Jun 2023
2 min read
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This is a linkpost for https://rootsofprogress.org/links-and-tweets-2023-06-28
Progress StudiesWorld Modeling
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Progress links and tweets, 2023-06-28: “We can do big things again in Pennsylvania”
4ChristianKl
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[-]ChristianKl2y40

A FAQ that addresses the arguments/concerns of vaccine skeptics?

https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/tagged/vaccines has a bunch of questions about vaccines and generally high-level answers which makes it more trustworthy than a FAQ paid by Gates Foundation money or similar sources would be. 

I recently added a few questions for some of the main arguments that RFK Jr. made recently. 

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Opportunities

  • AI Grant’s second batch is now accepting applications (via @natfriedman)
  • Longevity Biotech Fellowship 2 is also accepting applications (via @allisondman)
  • Science writing office hours with Niko McCarty (this one over but more in the future)

News & links

  • I-95 reopened in just 12 days after a section of it collapsed. Gov. Shapiro says this proves “that we can do big things again in Pennsylvania”
  • Arcadia Science will publish their abandoned projects (via @stuartbuck1)
  • Short interview with the Hiroshima bombing mission lead (via @michael_nielsen)

Queries

  • When was the last time a positive vision of the future took hold?
  • What should Tyler Cowen ask Paul Graham?
  • What should Dwarkesh Patel ask Andy Matuschak?
  • Who should Eric Gilliam meet in/near London?
  • How do airlines pool information / make agreements on safety and avoid antitrust?
  • A FAQ that addresses the arguments/concerns of vaccine skeptics?

Quotes

  • “I wonder that the Lord God has kept such things hidden”
  • “The Flat Iron is to the United States what the Parthenon was to Greece”
  • The terrible treatment of the girls who worked in the Bryant and May match factory

AI risk

  • Claim: now is an “acute risk period” that only ends with a “global immune system”
  • Concerns about AI are warranted, but there are very valid counter-arguments
  • An AI doom syllogism
  • On the paper “Optimal Policies Tend to Seek Power”

Tweets

  • Gear teeth are way more nuanced than you would expect
  • A brief thread of wonder at the modern world
  • Staying up to date on news by tracking prediction markets
  • Floor raisers vs. ceiling raisers
  • Induction vs. deduction / empiricism vs. rationalism are the falsest dichotomies
  • What someone’s unwillingness to debate says about their position
  • “How easy is it for a kid to operate a lemonade stand?” as a city metric. Kennett Square, PA and Tooele, UT score well
  • A 13-story, 245-unit timber high rise that would be illegal to build in the US
  • Postel’s law for feedback
  • Things that “made the modern world,” according to book titles
  • “You can count on coal!” (1952)

  • America’s worst nightmare according to Popular Mechanics, 2004

Charts

  • For Juneteenth, the progress of black Americans in wealth per capita

  • Death rates from “external causes”