Sherrinford's Shortform

Sherrinford

Sherrinford's Shortform

2nd May 2020

1 min read

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Sherrinford's Shortform

by Sherrinford

2nd May 2020

1 min read

161

3

This is a special post for quick takes by Sherrinford. Only they can create top-level comments. Comments here also appear on the Quick Takes page and All Posts page.

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Sherrinford's Shortform — LessWrong

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Sherrinford8mo40

If this is your timeline:

"I think AGI by end of 2027 should be ~8% now
I think I'd forecast: ~2026-2030 -- AI replaces ~all AI researchers
~2027-2033 -- AI replaces ~all white collar industry
~2032-2040 -- AI replaces ~all human industry
~2033-2042 -- All humans dead or obsolete"

Then what does that imply you should be doing right now?

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2Sherrinford8mo

That is an interesting aspect, but I assume that assumes that the "dead or obsolete" part is not influenceable?

Taylor G. Lunt8mo20

I was including "trying to save the world" in "whatever else you think you should be doing."

2Sherrinford8mo

Right -- the ought has more, additional requirements that I left implicit here.

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