Beliefs Require Observations

See also

• Belief update
• Belief in belief
• Free-floating belief

See also

• Belief update
• Belief in belief
• Free-floating belief

To form accurate beliefs about something, you really do have to observe it. And thisThis can be viewed as a special case of the second law of thermodynamics, in fact, since "knowledge" is correlation of belief with reality, which is mutual information, which is a physical law.

Surface similarity between different phenomena may indicate that they are related, but it is not necessarily the case. Reasoning by similarity is only valid where it allows to surface actual interaction.form of negentropy.

• The Second Law of Thermodynamics, and Engines of Cognition by Eliezer Yudkowsky
• Surface Analogies and Deep Causes by Eliezer Yudkowsky
• The Parable of the Dagger by Eliezer Yudkowsky

• The Second Law of Thermodynamics, and Engines of Cognition by Eliezer Yudkowsky
• Surface Analogies and Deep Causes by Eliezer Yudkowsky
• The Parable of the Dagger by Eliezer Yudkowsky

• The Second Law of Thermodynamics, and Engines of Cognition by Eliezer Yudkowsky
• The Parable of the Dagger by Eliezer Yudkowsky

• The Second Law of Thermodynamics, and Engines of Cognition
• What is Evidence?
• The Parable of the Dagger

• Evidence
• Belief update
• Belief in belief
• Free-floating belief

To form accurate beliefs about something, you really do have to observe it. This can be viewed as a special case of the second law of thermodynamics,thermodynamics, in fact, since "knowledge" is correlation of belief with reality, which is mutual information, which is a form of negentropy.

• Belief
• Belief in belief

To form accurate beliefs about something, you *really*really do have to observe it. And this is a physical law.

See Alsoalso

• Belief
• Belief update
• Belief in belief
• Free-floating belief

ReferencesBlog posts

Overcoming Bias Articles

• Belief
• Belief update
• Belief in belief
• Free-floating belief