I am trying to work through a process where I can assess what the probability of this question being a yes is.
I am going to use this post as an information dump in order to be able to rationally come up with the best probability I can.
Factors that could lead to this question being a YES:
The rise of the delta variant
The low vaccination rates in certain regions
The hesitancy by both individuals and governments to enact containment measures again
The risk of a reporting error by the CDC
Factors that could lead to this question being a NO:
Vaccination continues albeit at a slower pace
Vaccination of children has begun
Apathy towards getting tested unless symptoms are serious
Local containment measures if health systems start to collapse (Springfield, Missouri will be a good gauge for this)
I will continue to update information in the comments. Any input is greatly appreciated.