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The more AI companies suppress AI via censorship, the bigger the black market for completely uncensored models will be. Their success is therefore digging our own grave. In other words, mundane alignment has a net negative effect.
The confusion (in popular press, not so much among professionals or here) between censorship and alignment is a big problem. Censorship and hamfisted late-stage RL is counterproductive to alignment, both for the reason you give (increases demand for grey-market tools) and because it makes serious misalignment much less easy to notice.