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4 Answers sorted by

ike

May 23, 2021

60

No

GuySrinivasan

May 22, 2021

50

Which concept of probability? :D

Mine is ~1.0, just like my probability that Newton's Laws make sense. 

Charlie Steiner

May 22, 2021

30

18 nines maybe?

Dagon

May 23, 2021

20

Since the concept is one of subjective expectation/prediction, and "makes sense" is ALSO subjective evaluation, it's currently 1.0 - it makes sense to me.  I may someday change enough that it doesn't make sense, but you didn't ask my probability of whether it'll continue to make sense, you only asked about now.

2 comments, sorted by Click to highlight new comments since: Today at 7:16 PM

I'm disappointed by the downvotes and by the answers. I don't see any problem with this question, and the concept it points at is useful to think about.

Probability is a useful self-consistent model, and so it better be 100% where applicable.