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i think one really bad dynamic in this community is a sort of purity testing about being x risk pilled. it feels like people are constitutionally scared of considering arguments that feel like they're arguing that things might be fine in any way. tbc I've definitely been guilty of this in the past, and probably still now to some extent, but i think it's bad. maybe there is some conflict theory reason why you should orient yourself this way towards people who have an ulterior motive, but I'm like among the most x risk pilled people out there and i still find this happens when i try to discuss x risk with people.
Pollution, exhaustion of low entropy resources, and insufficient human capacity to manage coordination challenges at planetary scale. My pdoom drops as LLMs get better.
It doesn't feel that way to me fwiw. I feel like lots of people I know including myself have made arguments that things might be fine. For example the salty, cynical, John Wentworth wrote "Alignment by Default." Also, see AI 2027 Slowdown ending.
Now, if xriskpilled means: You think there's a >5% chance of literal extinction (or similarly bad outcomes) due to misaligned AIs, then yeah I think I do kinda judge people who aren't xriskpilled in that sense, because I think believing the chance is <5% is extremely unjustified once you know a decent amount about the situation and the evidence.