Thinking soberly about the context and consequences of Friendly AI

by Mitchell_Porter 1 min read16th Oct 201239 comments

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The project of Friendly AI would benefit from being approached in a much more down-to-earth way. Discourse about the subject seems to be dominated by a set of possibilities which are given far too much credence:

  • A single AI will take over the world
  • A future galactic civilization depends on 21st-century Earth
  • 10n-year lifespans are at stake, n greater than or equal to 3 
  • We might be living in a simulation
  • Acausal deal-making
  • Multiverse theory 

Add up all of that, and you have a great recipe for enjoyable irrelevance. Negate every single one of those ideas, and you have an alternative set of working assumptions that are still consistent with the idea that Friendly AI matters, and which are much more suited to practical success:

  • There will always be multiple centers of power
  • What's at stake is, at most, the future centuries of a solar-system civilization
  • No assumption that individual humans can survive even for hundreds of years, or that they would want to
  • Assume that the visible world is the real world
  • Assume that life and intelligence are about causal interaction
  • Assume that the single visible world is the only world we affect or have reason to care about 

The simplest reason to care about Friendly AI is that we are going to be coexisting with AI, and so we should want it to be something we can live with. I don't see that anything important would be lost by strongly foregrounding the second set of assumptions, and treating the first set of possibilities just as possibilities, rather than as the working hypothesis about reality.

[Earlier posts on related themes: practical FAI, FAI without "outsourcing".]