As much as I want it to be true that progress is stalling, I think Sora and Atlas and the rest are mostly signs that OpenAI is trying to become an everything app via both vertical and horizontal integration. These are just a few of the building blocks they would need, and the business case for targeting an everything app given their valuation seems strong (in that the only way the valuation is defensible is if it seems like they will eat multiple existing business sectors or create new business sectors as big as many existing ones).
I agree with Hank Green that it sure seems like it's so they can start selling ads like a traditional social media company, and furthermore that that sort of behavior doesn't feel like what one would expect from a company that thought they were building an AGI.
Recently, OpenAI has been releasing products that don't seem to advance the goal of creating AGI or Superintelligent AI. The social video product Sora is one such product. Though at least it involves a new AI model that might teach them lessons about developing capabilities. Another is the AI-enabled browser Atlas.
Why is OpenAI spending the manpower, compute, and management focus to create and support these products instead of using those resources to race toward more powerful AI?
I am most interested in public sources from OpenAI or answers from those who have direct knowledge. If you have a different speculation from mine, share that too.
Speculation on possible reasons: