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Counterfactuals

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Counterfactual reasoning is about looking at choices you could have made, but didn't.

Counterfactuals are similar to hypotheticals (but tend to focus on choices you could have made, rather than situations you could have been in).

Posts tagged Counterfactuals

Most Relevant

2

56Four factors that moderate the intensity of emotions

2y

11

2

9Applying the Counterfactual Prisoner's Dilemma to Logical UncertaintyΩ

4mo

5

1

95The Curse Of The Counterfactual

1y

32

1

86I Was Not Almost Wrong But I Was Almost Right: Close-Call Counterfactuals and Bias

9y

39

1

80Counterfactual Mugging Poker GameΩ

Scott Garrabrant

3y

2

1

69Counterfactual Mugging

12y

296

1

44Counterfactual Oracles = online supervised learning with random selection of training episodesΩ

1y

26

1

37JFK was not assassinated: prior probability zero events

Stuart_Armstrong

5y

48

1

36Counterfactual outcome state transition parameters

2y

1

1

33Counterfactual resiliency test for non-causal models

Stuart_Armstrong

8y

78

1

30Timeless Decision Theory and Meta-Circular Decision Theory

Eliezer Yudkowsky

11y

37

1

30Two Alternatives to Logical CounterfactualsΩ

9mo

61

1

29Timeless Control

Eliezer Yudkowsky

13y

66

1

28Conditioning, Counterfactuals, Exploration, and GearsΩ

3y

1

1

28Counterfactuals, thick and thinΩ

2y

11