This is a special post for quick takes by Szeth. Only they can create top-level comments. Comments here also appear on the Quick Takes page and All Posts page.
Does anyone else feel like export control discussion at the moment is a bit hyperbolic? I don't expect human level AGI to be achieved for about 5 years and by then the current iterations of GPUs will be obsolete. It certainly doesn't give me confidence in this administration's ability to do things, but selling China advanced chips now is probably fine if we stop in like 3 years. Which hopefully we will.
JD Vance very possibly knows who Zvi Mowshowitz is. Vance used to play the Magic the Gathering deck "Yawgmoth's Bargain" which was largely designed by Zvi. Not sure what, if any, implications this has but certainly an interesting piece of trivia.
This doesn’t make a ton of sense to me. You think it’s more likely that JD knows Zvi but didn’t play magic than played magic but doesn’t know Zvi?
This would have been my expectation, from most likely to least likely:
I expect we differ only on the ordering of the middle two
I would put "Doesn't know Zvi, played magic" at number two. I think you might be overestimating either how well known Zvi is or how likely one would be to know Zvi conditional on playing magic in the late nineties/early 2000s.