This historical incident report fails to mention the true root cause, which has since been addressed: Wolves were not yet locally driven to extinction.
I thought the true root cause was that people were still raising animals for human consumption?
in sufficiently complex systems, there is often no single root cause, even if you could see the entire causal graph. This seems like a case where that applies to me.
... but also, what jeff said
It's the "Boy who cried wolf" fable in the format of an incident report such as what might be written in the wake of an industrial disaster. Whether the fictional report writer has learned the right lessons I suppose is an exercise left for the reader.
See also: Swiss cheese model
tl;dr: don't overanalyze the final cause of disaster; usually it was preceded by serial failure of prevention mechanisms, any one or all of which can be improved for risk reduction.
Yeah but false positive. Every time anyone mentions all the ignored warnings they never try to calculate how many times the same warning occurred and everything was fine?
It's easy to point to O rings after the space shuttle is lost. But how many thousand other weak links were NASA/contractor engineers concerned about?
(Epistemic status: lyrics)
I’m not too clear about what you just spoke. Is that a parable, or a very subtle joke?
If you're making false claims of your incomprehension, it's clear that you've missed the moral dimension. When you truly can't get what someone is saying, remember today and the games you were playing. It takes people effort to give added proof...and they won't put that in for the boy who cries wolf.
| Priority | Action Item | Type | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P0 | Gather flock | mitigate | complete |
| P0 | Deploy replacement sentinel | mitigate | complete |
| P1 | Update playbook for wolf alerts | prevent | complete |
| P2 | Update remaining sentinels | prevent | complete |
| P2 | Revise sentinel training program | prevent | complete |
| P2 | Investigate equipping sentinels with flutes or slings | prevent | in progress |
March 3rd:
March 4th:
March 5th: