Request: Someone investigates the PauseAI US/Global drama, comes to a good understanding of the situation, and makes recommendations.
Over the next 12 months, protests against AI might reach levels unseen in human history, with 10-100M people marching on the street, across all political leanings, counties and demographics, prompted by mass unemployment and fears of existential risk.
There’s some drama between PauseAI US and PauseAI Global, and we’re dropping to ball by not dealing with this. Someone should dig into it and work out what should be done. In 2023, @Ben Pace spent six months investigating the Non-Linear drama, and this seems several OOMs more important.
Perhaps this could be a collection of all the relevant facts and evidence, including interviews, along with some high-level opinions and some recommendations. Ideally, someone else would offer a dissenting opinion, and this would be published together.
My impression is that @Ben Pace supports the disendorsement, and @habryka doesn’t. Maybe they could delegate the investigation to someone else, advise them throughout, and then offer both of their opinions. Or someone else could own this, if they have a reputation for epistemic integrity and good judgment, and their neutrality isn’t (too) compromised.
I’m also open to being persuaded that this isn’t important, or isn’t tractable.
PauseAI Global vs PauseAI US — the September 2026 split (Fable 5.1)
Compiled 10 September 2026 from the LessWrong post and comments, Zvi’s AI #185, and linked primary sources.
Grievances Global cites in the letter:
Fournes asks for a leadership change at PauseAI US. Elmore refuses. He forwards her response to national leads; the overwhelming majority still support disendorsement.
Full text. Key moves:
Posted to LessWrong by nem, 1 Sept, framed as confusion for volunteers. ~276 karma, ~209 comments at time of writing.
Nobody in the thread argues the split itself was wrong. The dispute is over the reasoning and over Elmore.
No, and it’s discrediting:
Partial defence:
Yes / defensible:
No / unproven:
Trigger: Elmore’s tweet and her Substack post Holly’s Basilisk (“The Berkeley trials, perhaps”).
Yes-ish:
No:
Ex post facto sub-dispute:
Fallout: