At my college, there's a week before Spring Semester each year in which anyone who wants to can teach a class on any subject, and students go to whatever ones they feel like. I'm thinking about teaching a class on Bayes' Theorem. It would be informal, one to two hours long, and focused mostly on non-obvious applications of it (epistemology, the representativeness heuristic, etc.)

At the moment, I'm thinking about how to design the class, so I'd appreciate any suggestions as to what content I should cover, the best format, clear ways to explain it, cool things related to Bayes' Theorem, good links, and so forth.