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What are the risks of permanent injury from COVID?

by Daniel Kokotajlo1 min read7th Jul 20209 comments


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I'm in my late twenties. I can easily find estimates of the risk of death, but I'm having trouble figuring out what the risk of permanent injury (e.g. fatigue) is. I figure someone on LW has probably already looked into this, so I thought I'd ask.

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Pulmonary fibrosis seems to be a fairly common outcome of COVID19 (especially if you needed hospitalization). According to Wikipedia, "Life expectancy is generally less than five years."

I have gathered some links in: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CSKsPwMjn2JxYroNA/how-likely-is-the-covid-19-apocalyptic-scenario?commentId=X554vNDwzpCyZQeFP -but I guess it is dated now. It is strange that we don't have stats about that - it is only one step more difficult than the CFR stats.