LESSWRONGCOVID-19 Updates and Analysis
LW

COVID-19 Updates and Analysis

March 2020

70Coronavirus is Here

4y

16

51What is a School?

4y

7

46Let My People Stay Home

4y

2

April 2020

94Taking Initial Viral Load Seriously

4y

45

4y

6

129Seemingly Popular Covid-19 Model is Obvious Nonsense

4y

28

65My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/17

4y

6

25My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/23 pre-Cuomo Data

4y

5

31On New York’s Antibody Tests

4y

1

67On “COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons”

4y

12

28Covid-19 4/30: Stuck in Limbo

4y

8

May 2020

53SlateStarCodex 2020 Predictions: Buy, Sell, Hold

4y

15

16Covid-19: New York’s Antibody Tests 2

4y

0

27Covid-19 5/7: Fighting Limbo

4y

7

42Covid-19: Comorbidity

4y

7

15Covid 5/21: Limbo Under

4y

0

26Covid-19 5/29: Dumb Reopening

4y

0

188Covid-19: My Current Model

4y

74

June 2020

33Covid-19 6/4: The Eye of the Storm

4y

7

61Covid-19 6/11: Bracing For a Second Wave

4y

6

55Covid-19 6/18: The Virus Goes South

4y

5

116Covid 6/25: The Dam Breaks

4y

21

July 2020

85Covid 7/2: It Could Be Worse

4y

13

56Covid 7/9: Lies, Damn Lies and Death Rates

4y

16

32Covid-19: Analysis of Mortality Data

4y

12

82Covid 7/16: Becoming the Mask

4y

20

59Covid 7/23: The Second Summit

4y

6

41New Paper on Herd Immunity Thresholds

4y

16

39Covid 7/30: Whack a Mole

4y

4

August 2020

43Covid 8/6: The Case of the Missing Data

4y

3

53Covid 8/13: Same As It Ever Was

4y

3

47Covid 8/20: A Little Progress

4y

6

85Covid 8/27: The Fall of the CDC

4y

16

September 2020

49Covid 9/3: Meet the New CDC

4y

9

113Covid 9/10: Vitamin D

4y

50

54Covid 9/17: It’s Worse

4y

41

95Covid 9/24: Until Morale Improves

4y

16

October 2020

95Covid 10/1: The Long Haul

4y

22

66Covid 10/8: October Surprise

4y

17

74Covid 10/15: Playtime is Over

4y

21

80Covid 10/22: Europe in Crisis

4y

13

61Covid Covid Covid Covid Covid 10/29: All We Ever Talk About

3y

50

November 2020

64Covid 11/5: Don’t Mention the War

3y

16

100Covid 11/12: The Winds of Winter

3y

64

72Covid 11/19: Don’t Do Stupid Things

3y

29

114Covid 11/26: Thanksgiving

3y

14

December 2020

79Covid 12/3: Land of Confusion

3y

34

58Covid 12/10: Vaccine Approval Day in America

3y

31

76Covid 12/17: The First Dose

3y

29

276Covid 12/24: We’re F***ed, It’s Over

3y

135

83What evidence will tell us about the new strain? How are you updating?

Zvi, Oskar Mathiasen

3y

18

112Covid 12/31: Meet the New Year

3y

32

January 2021

108Fourth Wave Covid Toy Modeling

3y

22

157Covid 1/7: The Fire of a Thousand Suns

3y

56

108Covid 1/14: To Launch a Thousand Shipments

3y

35

68Covid: The Question of Immunity From Infection

3y

9

136Covid 1/21: Turning the Corner

3y

41

97Covid 1/28: Muddling Through

3y

18

February 2021

90Covid 2/4: Safe and Effective Vaccines Aplenty

3y

25

101Covid 2/11: As Expected

3y

79

76Covid 2/18: Vaccines Still Work

3y

29

53Judging Our April 2020 Covid-19 Predictions

3y

12

67Covid 2/25: Holding Pattern

3y

16

March 2021

90Covid 3/4: Declare Victory and Leave Home

3y

28

101Covid 3/12: New CDC Guidelines Available

3y

28

74Covid 3/18: An Expected Quantity of Blood Clots

3y

25

80Covid 3/25: Own Goals

3y

17

April 2021

50Covid 4/1: Vaccine Passports

3y

52

54Covid 4/9: Another Vaccine Passport Objection

3y

34

82Covid 4/15: Are We Seriously Doing This Again

3y

37

100Covid 4/22: Crisis in India

3y

25

55Covid 4/29: Vaccination Slowdown

3y

19

May 2021

87Covid 5/6: Vaccine Patent Suspension

3y

58

69Covid 5/13: Moving On

3y

13

49Covid 5/20: The Great Unmasking

3y

15

72Covid 5/27: The Final Countdown

3y

19

June 2021

50Covid 6/3: No News is Good News

3y

10

57Covid 6/10: Somebody Else’s Problem

3y

26

86Covid 6/17: One Last Scare

3y

42

43Covid 6/24: The Spanish Prisoner

3y

30

July 2021

53Covid 7/1: Don’t Panic

3y

35

72Covid 7/8: Delta Takes Over

3y

16

64Covid 7/15: Rates of Change

3y

63

66Covid 7/22: Error Correction

3y

45

97Covid 7/29: You Play to Win the Game

3y

25

August 2021

63Covid 8/5: Much Ado About Nothing

3y

34

79Covid 8/12: The Worst Is Over

3y

66

52Covid 8/19: Cracking the Booster

3y

23

56Covid 8/26: Full Vaccine Approval

3y

46

September 2021

77Covid 9/2: Long Covid Analysis

3y

15

35Covid 9/9: Passing the Peak

3y

21

63Covid 9/17: Done Biden His Time

3y

14

69Covid 9/23: There Is a War

3y

30

49Covid 9/30: People Respond to Incentives

3y

14

October 2021

58Covid 10/7: Steady as She Goes

3y

26

57Covid 10/14: Less Long Cvoid

3y

22

70Covid 10/21: Rogan vs. Gupta

3y

62

29Covid 10/28: An Unexpected Victory

2y

37

November 2021

51Covid 11/4: The After Times

2y

33

65Covid 11/11: Winter and Effective Treatments Are Coming

2y

19

55Covid 11/18: Paxlovid Remains Illegal

2y

36

54Paxlovid Remains Illegal: 11/24 Update

2y

21

73Covid 11/25: Another Thanksgiving

2y

9

260Omicron Variant Post #1: We’re F***ed, It’s Never Over

2y

95

120Omicron Variant Post #2

2y

34