I was raised to believe that genetically-modified foods are unhealthy to eat and bad for the environment, and given a variety of reasons for this, some of which I now recognize as blatantly false (e.g., human genetic code is isomorphic to fundamental physical law), and a few of which still seem sort of plausible.
Because of this history, I need to anchor my credence heavily downward from my sense of plausibility.
The major reasons I see to believe that GMOs are safe are:
- I would probably think they were dangerous even if they were safe, due to my upbringing.
- In general, whenever someone opposes a particular field of engineering on the grounds that it's unnatural and dangerous, they're usually wrong.
- It's not quite obvious to me that introducing genetically-engineered organisms to a system is significantly more dangerous than introducing non-native naturally-evolved organisms.
The major reason I see to believe that GMOs are dangerous is:
- I might believe they were safe even if they were dangerous, due to "yay science" (which was also part of my upbringing).
- We are designing self-replicating things and using them without reliable containment, thereby effectively releasing them into the wild.
So: green goo, yes or no?