Absent Transhumanism and Transformative Technologies, Which Utopia is Left?

[-][anonymous]13y120

Leave stuff like ratios of reproductive sex alone; I don't think this is a direct obstacle to something people'd recognize as a utopia.
Divide the Earth up by ecoregions. Extensive surveys of natural resources, landforms, biomes, economically-significant species, ecosystem-provided services, existing human use and infrastructure, so on. "Urban" counts as a biome here.
Priority technologies to research, develop and deploy as universally-accessible things:

-Passive or solar-charged night-vision glasses. This is to reduce the need for artificial electric lighting at night; its creation was a real game-changer, but the energy consumption is extreme.

-A reversible, safe, efficient oral contraceptive for folks with danglybits. This is to be paired with widespread distribution of existing birth-control methods.

-Dump tons of money into research for efficient hydrogen-fuelled and electric transport; also kick off a nuclear renaissance with an emphasis on modern design and organizing/management principles without the neglect incentives currently possessed by private industrial NPOs. Expand supplemental renewables production. Every continent gets an elevated high-speed rail ne... (read more)

3NancyLebovitz13y

Your first point makes me realize that gene therapy or something of the sort for cat-level night vision would be really cool. I'm not very sure that the reason we have industrial concentrated agriculture is lack of the right plants and knowledge of how to make them tasty. Now that I think about it, I'm not sure why agriculture is as spacially concentrated as it is. Knowledge of how to grow particular plants in a particular climate? (in which case you're right) Infrastructure? Water and terrain?

5[anonymous]13y

Wouldn't it? I think it's proscribed by the terms of the thought experiment, but if it weren't I'd include an option to subsidize the creation of a working tapetum lucidum in whoever wants one. Kind of missing my point, though my point is sorta nested under layers of assumptions in that particular case. Lemme take you through it. I live in a cold climate with extreme seasonal variation. Winters here are very harsh. But I can buy bananas at the grocery store whenever I want, anytime. (This is for really weird, complex historical and geopolitical reasons that I'm prone to rambling about in their own right, but we'll ignore that for now.) And that's good, if you think about it, because there's very little fruit here that grows under agricultural conditions, let alone wild ones. Oh, there's been progress made in cold-climate cultivars of apple, pear and a few other things here, but those are all very recent developments. Forget citrus, forget bananas. If you want your vitamins, you need fruits and veggies (or organ meats, but those are not a common element of the mainstream diet here). However, the climate is wholly unsuited to producing them for most of the year, and we have a short growing season even when it happens. Under the current system, we mostly grow corn and soy, and sell it to people far away. That's economically productive, but it takes a lot of land. It also depends on a huge, massive global trade network reliant on just-in-time delivery and a consume, consume, consume mindset in the relevant trade partners and their cultural substrate. That particular thing is what I see as part of the problem that needs solving -- not trade itself, not even long-distance trade; those are good things -- just the relevant complex of players, relationships and motives and its direct and external effects on much of what I value. My priorities are roughly as follows: -Increase resilience (failures of the just-in-time delivery system are disastrous; monocultures are frag

0NancyLebovitz13y

HERE ARE THE CONSTRAINTS: Assume for the time being that it will forever remain beyond the scope of science to change Human Nature. AGI is also impossible, as is Nanotech, BioImmortality, and those things. Biological tinkering, so long as it doesn't make changes in the range of human temperament or huge changes in longevity would seem to be permitted. I think we're stuck with the usual amount of status seeking, cruelty, violence, and inertia, though those vary quite a bit from one time and place to another. I don't know what the best we could get would be just using ordinary cultural methods. Some increase of lifespan-- say to 150 years with a fairly short unhealthy bit at the end-- would also seem to be within the challenge. Your description of more varied and resilient agriculture so that food doesn't need to be hauled as far seems doable. I'm not sure if it needs much cheaper energy to keep the greenhouses warm and lit or much more expensive energy so that people will have an incentive to develop local food. I've wondered whether good local lives would require a good bit of telecommuting. Rural poverty seems (to my casual knowledge) to be very intractable-- that's part of why poor people move from farms to cities. On the other hand, the problem may be more political than I realize.

4Nornagest13y

I'm definitely not an expert in this sort of sociology, but I have lived in rural areas for a good chunk of my life and I'm familiar with a variety of ways of living under those constraints. The impression I get is that rural poverty is largely due to infrastructure and availability issues, and to lack of economies of scale. Ten miles outside my hometown there's still electricity and good roads, and the people making their living there (as opposed to people that prefer rural life but work in town) tend to be fairly affluent ranchers and vintners or their lower-middle-class employees. Twenty miles outside town there's no central electricity let alone water, the roads are dirt tracks or poorly maintained asphalt and don't get plowed in the winter, and about the only commercial enterprises worth talking about are forestry and a couple of mines. The few people living permanently under those conditions are truly poor. Not because of lack of marketable skills -- I spent one summer staying with a family friend who lived in a one-room log cabin, and he was one of the more gifted mechanics I've met -- but because lack of infrastructure makes labor-saving measures a lot harder and more expensive, and because low population density makes niches for comparative advantage a lot rarer and shallower. These problems strike me as technical more than political, and I'm not aware of any candidate technical solutions that'd level them completely. But there are some technical advances that'd mitigate them considerably. Affordable and reliable wind and solar would make labor-saving technology less dependent on the power grid and would enable network connectivity; network connectivity allows some knowledge work to be done rurally, makes education a lot easier, and makes distribution of goods simpler (you still have to ship out production, but payment, marketing, and some support can be done digitally). If we're really interested in tackling rural poverty as a political issue, any of thi

0[anonymous]13y

I'd consider that to be almost definitionally transformative; on the other hand, that moves the window for "transformative" into serious overlap with a lot of contemporary tech, so I suppose it's a matter of taste. Oh, they vary amazingly alright. In my ideal case, status-seeking has plenty of safe outlets, but the prevailing cultural norm (insofar as we want any of those to extend to a huge portion of the population) also looks a lot less competitive than is normal in Western culture. I'd like to remove incentives for all but the most banal forms of cruelty (probably no force on Earth can prevent human children from picking on each other, but what does that look like, and how does it play out in terms of long-term social relations between folks?), but there'll always be someone who tortures squirrels to death for fun or just has a bit of a sadistic streak around other humans. Violence is trickier -- my goal is to remove much of the incentive for large-scale violence, and create some ways of mitigating the smaller-scale power of violence to do harm. I'm not so sure about that -- we don't have any good sense that 150 years is even a plausible lifespan for an unmodified human, and the Gompertz function is hard at work through the centenarian mark. Humans join elephants and a few other mammals in having remarkably long lifespans for our body weight; I suspect we're pretty near to what is plausible, barring some kind of really weird, exceptional circumstance. (I suppose now, when there are more human beings than ever, we have the best chance yet of someone living to a record-shattering old age, but I'd still be surprised if 150 was achievable...) Depends where you are, of course -- greenhouses probably can't be made economical in Nunavut, but they're already viable in parts of southern Canada. Rural poverty is complicated -- I think it does have political dimensions, but a lot of that comes down to cities as economic engines and rural areas as being primarily harves

0bogus13y

Localizing agriculture would be quite expensive in terms of resources, as would phasing out existing engineered varieties. I'd focus on removing current farm subsidies, which tend to overly promote factory-style agribusiness, and plow more resources into preserving existing varieties of crops and livestock. Other than that, though, I don't think changes are warranted.

0[anonymous]13y

Terms of the thought experiment: I get to wave my hands and change society to look like something else, absent trasnhumanist technological favorites. If it's expensive, it's okay in this situation to assume that the investment is made anyway.

0diegocaleiro13y

Wow, thanks for sharing that much time to think about it! Many ideas there I've never had heard of, as someone who likes to write utopias quite a bit, I enjoyed my reading time.

[-]Mestroyer13y110

If I can't rewire animals brains to stop suffering, screw it. Pave over every forest and jungle and other natural habitat on the Earth. Drive every animal species extinct but us (save pets people want to keep). Find a plant species that can generate oxygen and food without being pollinated by insects. (algae, maybe?) Also, save dolphins and great apes, who I would probably count as people, rather than "pseudo-people," like other animals, construct luxurious habitats for them. Find some way to limit their population besides Malthusian scarcity (sterilization of most adults, probably).

Get rid of religions, try and make everyone as wealthy as possible, try and invent drugs that don't screw up your brain that much but still feel awesome, make sure they are (obviously legal) and widely available. Eliminate every communicable disease, including STDs. Invent some kind of male-usable birth control. Eliminate nudity and sex taboos, and hold enormous public orgies every day, convince Eliezer Yudkowsky that the singularity is not gonna happen and he should spend all day writing HPMOR.

[-]knb13y100

Get rid of religions, try and make everyone as wealthy as possible, try and invent drugs that don't screw up your brain that much but still feel awesome, make sure they are (obviously legal) and widely available. Eliminate every communicable disease, including STDs. Invent some kind of male-usable birth control. Eliminate nudity and sex taboos, and hold enormous public orgies every day

It still amazes me how many people read Brave New World and think Huxley's dystopia sounds like Utopia.

2Mestroyer13y

Haven't read it, actually.

2Richard_Kennaway13y

Those unaware of the past are doomed to repeat its errors (a traditional justification for exhaustively studying the history of philosophy before being allowed to actually do philosophy oneself). Read it, and as you go, you can tick off the whole of your shopping list. One might give only half a point for "wealthy", as only the Alphas get to be wealthy, but everyone's happy with their lot. They're made that way in artificial wombs.

[-]Mestroyer13y170

But Brave New World is not history. It's fiction.

I read the plot summary on Wikipedia. It looks like what is wrong with Brave New World is not present in my utopia. I don't want to dumb people down or physically weaken them as they develop, I don't want to brainwash them. I don't want everyone believing "'ending is better than mending' or 'more stiches less riches'" I don't want to get rid of families, and have the very concept be considered "pornographic." I don't want spending time alone to be frowned upon. I don't want people to die at age 60, having been conditioned that it's not a bad thing because they have no family and no one will mourn them. I don't want everyone locked into a single job by brainwashing for their entire lives. I don't want Shakespeare (or any literature) banned. I also don't want a caste system.

Also, soma doesn't sound like the kind of drug I was imagining, it sounds from the plot summary like it takes away your emotions and is used to quell riots. I'm thinking more like "crack, minus addiction and brain damage, and imprecision in dosing. (maybe some other downsides I missed, because I am not that knowledgeable about drugs)"

O... (read more)

6Desrtopa13y

This reminds me of a livejournal entry Yvain wrote about sci fi dystopias. Brave New World is very much a "rigged thought experiment." That said, I don't think I'd be comfortable with elimination of all nudity and sex taboos coupled with massive public orgies, because I'd rather be able to exercise more discrimination with regards to whom I have sexual contact with without being regarded as weird and prudish. If we're not rewriting human nature here, then anyone not participating in all the public sex is probably going to be stigmatized. I also definitely wouldn't be happy having all the natural ecosystems developed and most of the biosphere driven to extinction. Some people don't give a crap about nature, and I can intellectually accept that there's no reason other people have to actually like it, but it still makes me uncomfortable even if they're not actually acting to destroy it, much like you'd probably feel discomforted to hear someone argue that there's no reason for any more works of fiction to be made, ever, and all the people engaged in creating it and the resources dedicated to storing it should be redirected to more useful things.

3Mestroyer13y

I liked the link. I would probably be uncomfortable with nudity and public sex too (at first), but it's not really a part of my personality that I like. If I had the chance, I would basically just try to get used to it. I don't want to make people who wouldn't want to adapt adapt, but I would rather that future people were not limited like me than that things stayed nice for people who had been raised in the bad old days like you and me. I understand your reaction to the thought of killing Mother Nature. I would do it with some regret. I agree that she is beautiful, and I would miss her from an aesthetic point of view. But I think it's worth it.

2Desrtopa13y

The idea of wiping out other species to prevent their suffering strikes me as pretty bizarre. It's the same sort of extension of Negative Utilitarianism that leads to the suggestion that we should do the same to humanity, and I don't think that's a very practical approach to utility maximizing. In any case, I doubt most of the natural world suffers nearly as much as the philosophers in that link suggest, partly because I suspect a lack of abstract awareness and other neurological faculties limits the ways in which most animals can suffer, and partly due to the same hedonic treadmill tendencies that exist in humans.

2Mestroyer13y

It seems like we have two disagreements. The first is whether there are living conditions to which death is preferable, and the second is over how bad the conditions wild animals live in are. About the first: I'm not a negative utilitarian, I don't think suffering should lexically override happiness. I just think the suffering outweighs the happiness here because there is more of it. I definitely don't think humanity should be wiped out too. Humanity wouldn't otherwise be living in conditions worse than nonexistence, and has a good chance of living in better conditions in the future. Humanity is also the only potential manifestation of good in the universe, as far as we know. If you have a problem with wanting to kill someone to put them out of their misery in general, what if you were going to be tortured forever? Wouldn't you want to die then? If staying alive seems like it should lexically override pain when you look at a single individual, think about all the future individuals who you probably don't think have any special claim to life that comes with already existing, whose suffering you would be preventing by killing the present generation. If the species is expected to continue long enough, barring time-discounting, they should vastly outweigh the cost of killing the current. And no matter how long the species is going to continue, it's going to die some time, so you're really only moving an event forward in time, not introducing it from nowhere. About the second: I see no reason to expect that if animals have reduced awareness and other neurological faculties that reduce their ability to suffer, it wouldn't also limit their ability to experience positive things too. Even if with what they're lacking, they suffer only 1/10 as much as humans, the vast numbers of animals in the world seem to outweigh that. The possibility of a hedonic treadmill in animals is something to keep in mind, but I suspect that it is not as evolutionarily helpful in short lived a

0Desrtopa13y

I agree that there are circumstances to which death is preferable, although I've argued a number of times on this site that people who're making that decision with respect to themselves are usually in a bad position to do so. I strongly disagree that the conditions on wild animals are that bad. There's a very strong selective pressure for animals to be adapted to their own specific living circumstances. Animals can certainly become upset or depressed when removed from circumstances they're comfortable with, witness the preponderance of zoo animals whose habitats aren't made sufficiently reflective of what the animals would have to live with in the wild. They often become visibly depressed or neurotic, despite living much safer, physically healthier, and longer lives. As for the hedonic treadmill, if a human is hit by something they have a low chance of surviving, they're probably not going to survive. That's tautological. But that doesn't mean that practically any injury an animal receives is probably going to result in its death. It's not as if humans have a an evolutionary pressure to be able to bounce back from ailments that other animals simply don't have. Try watching some amputee dogs. See if they seem so miserable.

5Mestroyer13y

I just watched some youtube videos about amputee dogs, including this one: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iJxEIXRz_Kk This was the first one I found that had any information about the dog's reaction after the amputation, and much later. It says the dog took 4 weeks to "start acting like himself," and still whined at night, 6 weeks later. This seems about the same timescale as humans adapting to disabilities, so you're right about hedonic treadmills in dogs. Probably a lot of other animals have them too. There's still all the animals that don't have time in the rest of their lives to get used to what happens to them. But you have made me up my estimate of how good the average animal life is.

4[anonymous]13y

...why? ...why?

[-]Mestroyer13y100

Because I think the average wild animal life is worse than nonexistence, and there are quite a lot of them enduring such lives.

7Jayson_Virissimo13y

How would I go about (in principle) verifying whether you are correct?

9Mestroyer13y

You could (in principle) verify that the average animal life was Mestroyer::worse than nonexistence by spying on the operation of the brain of every animal on Earth, and seeing how much each was put into and kept in states that caused them to try to get out of those states, also weighted according to how high a priority getting out of those states gets, how often the things that they tried to prevent from happening to themselves happened anyway, weighted according to how hard they tried, or would try, if there was any course of action available to them to avoid them, how much time they spent thinking about their damaged bodies, how much they are changed by signals indicating damage coming from their bodies, and how intense those signals are compared to the minimum intensity that triggers the mind to try to avoid the stimulus. Multiply each of those amounts by a weighting constant I am not exactly sure of (what units would I use?), add them together, and subtract the whole thing from the amount each is put into and kept in states that cause them to try to stay in those states, or where not being in those states causes them to try and get into those states, weighted according to how hard they try, how much the things they tried hard to make happen to themselves happened, and how much things they did not plan to have happen to themselves, but would have if they understood how they could get them, weighted by how much they would sacrifice to get those things, how much they were changed by signals that had the effect of making them seek the stimulus more, weighted by how intense those signals are compared to the minimum intensity that triggers the mind to seek the stimulus. The second part should also be multiplied by some weighting constants (I bet they are roughly the same as the amount that the average human cares about these things happening to human minds, that's the best I can tie them down). Then divide by the number of minds you summed up stuff from. That numbe

8[anonymous]13y

shudders Given my sense that the externalities of destroying all animal life on Earth apart from humans and a couple pets include destroying those humans and their pets, I think you might qualify as some sort of inverted utility monster.

2The_Duck13y

Upvoted because of the frank and detailed reduction of pleasure, pain, and preferences in general.

2diegocaleiro13y

There are reversable vasectomies out there, one specially promising was on the verge of becoming available. Also an israeli scientist made the Male Pill, but that will still take a few years before approval.

0Kyre13y

Ending animal suffering is more important to you than understanding the only known instance of life and evolution in the universe ? Or would you consider holding off at least until the global genome project is complete ?

2Mestroyer13y

Yes. It depends how long I had to hold off. Realistically, I think capturing a few individuals to study from each species could probably be done in the course of wiping most out, so even though both operations would take a while, the gene-cataloging would not significantly slow down the killing (pipelining!)), so I would do it.

[-]Richard_Kennaway13y80

Absent Transhumanism and Transformative Technologies, Which Utopia is Left?

This one.

[-]OrphanWilde13y80

Depending on the extent of my god mode, I'd either reorganize the planet into a planetary transportation government and regional city-states - the planetary transportation government runs an intercontinental rail system that connects every city-state and enforces with overwhelming military might (provided by feudal grants from city states) only one right, that of emigration (not immigration; city states can refuse to permit people to stay within their borders, they're simply forbidden from preventing people from leaving).

Or, if I'm playing full god mode, I... (read more)

4Desrtopa13y

I think this would fall under the heading of "transformative technologies." Anything sufficient to bring about a total post-scarcity society is probably outside the scope of the question.

3Gelassenheit13y

Considering that you can not change human nature, do you believe that the central government would continue to limit themselves to this one power? With overwhelming military power, they could increase their power unchecked. Is the feudal grants supposed to limit this in some way, or are there other ideas you had in mind for preventing this?

2OrphanWilde13y

The feudal grants are intended to prevent the central government from overstepping its boundaries, yes. I expect the most likely failure mode of this government wouldn't be from the central government, but the regional governments, and either because they decide they want the central government to have more power, or because they decide they want a stronger central government that provides more guarantees.

3NancyLebovitz13y

I think the most obvious failure mode is that the right of emigration will turn out to be impossible to enforce.

0shin_getter13y

Sounds like the logical extention to libertarianism ideas that accepts the concept of social contract. I think some sort of externality management needs to exist as well.

0Sly13y

The planetary transportation government I find really intriguing for some reason. First I have ever heard of anything like it. Is it based off of something?

0OrphanWilde13y

Not to my knowledge, although it's possible I owe the idea to something I have since forgotten. I believe it evolved in political arguments I've had, from noticing that restricted emigration is one of the cornerstones of tyrannies, however. The railway was added at some point as a means of ensuring even landlocked nations with no immigration-friendly neighbors would have conduits out.

0Baughn13y

It reminds me of descriptions in Incandescence, by Greg Egan. Have you read it?

0OrphanWilde13y

Nope. Should I?

2Baughn13y

Maybe? Greg Egan writes the sort of hard SF where the characters are strictly secondary, and at least half the fun of reading them is trying to figure out the local laws of physics before the characters do. His newer works are generally written better, but they're all good. I'd recommend starting with Incandescence, thus. His newest story (the Orthogonal trilogy) is noticeably better, but it's also only two-thirds done.. so read that next. Lots of his stories are online, including some free short stories.

[-]Desrtopa13y80

Well, within the constraints of human nature, some societies seem to have much higher levels of trust than others; in some communities you can leave your doors unlocked while you leave your home for a vacation, in others people take practically feudal levels of fortification to feel safe from their neighbors. Crank up the levels of trust and transparency and bring as much of the world as is sustainable to a first world standard of living and you may have the best we could do with present day technology.

Lack of transformative technologies pretty much preclu... (read more)

0NancyLebovitz13y

Also, I'd expect both gradual and dramatic improvement in technology. It took until the middle ages to figure out that people needed left and right shoes rather than an identical shoe for each foot. It took until very recently to figure out how to make reasonably cheap computers and that they should be linked through search engines. There is no reason to think that we're close to inventing all the possible cool stuff.

[-]TimS13y70

Just don't forget if you slide something too far away from what our evolved brains were designed to accept

What is the evidence that we have any idea at all about the contents of the social / normative limits our brains are able to accept?

7DaFranker13y

I would say that since reading history appears to help in reducing social and organizational mistakes, this is a good indicator that we are capable of learning this kind of things. Things like the Stanford Prison Experiment also seem to give us good data as for what kinds of systems will make peoples' brains go poof, and more research can probably help us pinpoint exactly the empirical clusters of the failure modes (and more importantly, by reflection, the empirical clusters of the winning strategies).

6diegocaleiro13y

There is also a cool book by Pinker talking about the Better Angels of Our Nature, which addresses that. And papers about forced marriages, and other stuff in Evo Psych.

[-]MixedNuts13y60

When I first started thinking about politics, what struck me most is that idealists all had the same goal. People living in tight-knit communities, though free to leave; spontaneously sharing and cooperating in everyday life; working lightly to meet their needs, then devoting themselves to fulfilling, usually collective projects in their copious leisure time; swords hammered into plows, yadda yadda. The obvious flaw is that anyone slightly more selfish immediately ruins the system. There's also coordination problems, where you can collect five of your frie... (read more)

6MugaSofer13y

Are you ... sure that's what idealists want?

6MixedNuts13y

Not literally all idealists. Like, transhumanists and hardcore libertarians and people who like war for its own sake exist. But yes, all idealists I met, read, or heard of in my first phase of political reasoning (like, from four to twelve, so nothing more advanced than the Communist Manifesto) wanted something like this. The commies and the socialists and the very optimistic social-democrats and the hippies and the extreme right-wing racists and the anarchists and the prairie muffins and the politically naive cultists and the wheel reinventors.

5MugaSofer13y

Zing! See, those are the ones I was thinking of. ... and those aren't. Thank you.

2kodos9613y

I'm not sure why you think transhumanists and hardcore libertarians would be part of the exception you're making. I'm kind of both of those things, yet I think the idealist utopia you describe, modulo a few nitpicks, is roughly what I'm after as well.

1MixedNuts13y

Transhumanists usually lose the small communities, hardcore libertarians lose or tone way down the collectivism.

0kodos9613y

Libertarians don't have any problem with voluntary, opt-in collectivism... I mean that's kind of what corporations are.

2MixedNuts13y

Fair point, but that thing is opt-out. You're born and raised (if people are still being produced) in one of the communities, are socially expected to share, and if you decide you don't like it you have to leave. I suppose we can still make Proudhon cry by having shared resources be truly collectively owned, so that if you leave you're given portable possessions equal to the value of your share of community resources like plots of lands and machines.

2Viliam_Bur13y

Interesting. If many idealists share the same goal, what exactly is stopping them from doing it? I am asking seriously. Is it just not being automatically strategic, is there a conflict between professed far-mode ideals and everyday near-mode wants, or which other problems are the greatest and most frequent? I am not thinking about outright utopia, just about something that could improve the quality of my life by shifting it in the direction you described -- finding people with the same values and similar hobbies as me, moving to live near each other, sharing and cooperating in everyday life... all that within the context of the existing society. Technically, it would be relatively easy to do. Moving from one place to another is an inconvenience, but it would pay off in a long term. The real problem is finding the right people -- a group of people with compatible values and goals, sympathetic to each other, and trusting each other enough to engage in such long-term project. For example, I am rather picky about people; I would prefer to live with people of near-LW levels of rationality. (On the other hand I would prefer to stay in my country, as opposed to moving near SI). I don't know how much this is just my personal problem (e.g. just a lack of social skills to find the right people), or how much this is the weak point of most utopias -- you could imagine the utopia with the right group of people, but that group does not exist in the real life. It feels like it should exist, but that is a conjuction fallacy. You need people with similar goals and similar values and wanting to join the experiment and wanting it approximately at the same time and you need them to like and trust each other (for N people that means N×(N-1)/2 good relations and trust); and all this together is just too unlikely, especially for values of N equal to or greater than 10. Or, if this does not seem like the greatest obstacle for you, then what (besides akrasia) is in your opinion stoppin

2MixedNuts13y

Individuals can't really do that, unless they're willing to pay the cost of being cut off from the world. Hippies communes have few luxuries. Plus, these groups aren't very stable, because of that pesky interpersonal conflict and freedom to leave. What you can do is optimize your group of friends, which basically everyone already does. In ancient times people couldn't guess where to move to to find good friends, except if a place got a reputation as a hotspot for a particular group which was unpopular elsewhere. (You're a gay small town boy? Go to LA.) Now that the Internet exists, people can make friends and then move to be near them, though the improvement is rarely worth the cost of moving. Globally speaking: Magically creating this utopia would fail, because of conflicts over scarce resources. Taking scarcity out of the equation, you could still get huge fights and very unstable communities. Getting from here to this utopia has been tried. Usually there's some more or less dubious theory that points to a group of bad guys and jumps to the conclusion that removing the bad guys will create utopia. Various ideologies are distinguished by choice of bad guys and method of removal. (People currently in power are a popular choice, but you can always default to Jews.) While this method has produced poor results, I would be hard-pressed to think of a better one. Moderate politicians could attempt to move incrementally along their preferred path to utopia. The optimistic view is that they wildly disagree on how to create utopia (e.g. will redistribution or trickle-down economics best solve hunger?) and are thus working at cross-purposes.

6MugaSofer13y

I kind of wish we had signatures here so I could put this in mine.

5Viliam_Bur13y

This is what I tried to say. The scarcity is a problem in itself, but it is not the true reason why we don't have utopias. Yes, this model is very popular, because it allows one to work altruistically for the benefit of humanity, while getting a lot of power and a freedom to kill people they dislike as a bonus. But there are also other models. Having enough money, one could just build a new place and only let the good guys in. No need for killing, you just need one enthusiastic millionaire to sponsor the project. If the new place is small and not isolated from the rest of the civilization, the people can still participate in life as usual; they would just have their community as a bonus. Actually, people can cooperate and share their property even without a big investment, if they live reasonably close to each other. They just need to define that X, Y and Z are members of the community; they all share property with each other, but don't share with the outsiders. That's it. Again, I think the true reason why this does not happen more often, are the interpersonal conflicts. People living in the utopia usually realize that they don't like it... although they would like it, if they could replace their real human neighbors with the preferred kind of imaginary people. Sometimes the utopia proponents admit that their utopia would require "education" of people. But to me it feels (maybe I am too ungenerous here) that they consider themselves ready for the utopia, and it is just the unenlightened masses who need some brainwashing. Also I see a problem here that without some "pilot project" how will we test whether the proposed education works for the utopia or not. I would like to see more people who have their ideas of utopia, but who admit that they could be wrong and that their ideas need to be tested experimentally first. Then we could have a Scientific Utopiology, which would be a huge improvement from the usual "mass murders first, realize the obvious (for unbelie

3DaFranker13y

I've had many ideas for possible utopias, and read about many more, but I seem to always stumble on the same problems (or if I don't, someone else usually points out (correctly) that my solution for one of these is flawed): * Expertise verification. How do I know that you know what the hell you're talking about? (having members of the society all trained in hardcore bayesian rationality would help, but obtaining evidence that another rationalist has the evidence that they seem to have or claim to have is still costly, and arguing to an aumann agreement can waste tons of time depending on situation) * Scarcity of resources needs to be solved somehow, i.e. Sci-fi technology usually necessary. * Advanced cross-domain logistics involving math beyond the ken of most mortals. No, really. Counter-weighting evaluations of city design, efficient transport, short transit times, aesthetics, tribal / social proximity, local diversification, interpersonal relationships, all thrown into a big mess of predictive algorithms that are somehow supposed to take into account possible future desires of unknown people and unknown events. * Interpersonal relationships. Someone is going to seriously want to kill someone else eventually, period. None of my ideas nor the ideas I've seen so far even hint at a realistic solution. A good utopia should also encourage and help forging good social groups and meeting awesome people and making really great friends and so on... nope, still no solution there either. All my attempts at a solution for that last run into the "Wow, too hard maths" problems of logistics in the above point. * Memetic preference effects. When a certain project is really cool to work on, everyone wants to be working on that project. Just basic math and social science is more than enough to understand that making sure that enough people are working hard enough on the really important problems that need solving is hard, especially if you can't just throw money at a few

0bogus13y

Intentional communities do exist in the real world. It is not inconceivable that LessWrong meetup communities will eventually evolve along such lines.

[-]Viliam_Bur13y40

If changing human nature or building AGI is impossible, we could still explore how close we can get to this. Research the most efficient form of education and group cooperation. Research the most powerful forms of non-general artificial intelligence, design better expert systems, etc. These things could still be enough meta to influence many other aspects of human life.

Instead of nanotech, we could improve other forms of automated technology. Even without the ability to manipulate atoms, building things automatically from very small (but greater than nano-... (read more)

0Thomas13y

That would mean a kind of intelligence explosion quite soon. For the sake of this discussion, we should freeze any kind of techno progress, I think.

-2diegocaleiro13y

It seems to me that this "Research the most efficient form of education and group cooperation. Research the most powerful forms of non-general artificial intelligence, design better expert systems, etc. These things could still be enough meta to influence many other aspects of human life." is what Leverage Reserach is mostly about.

[-]Pavitra13y30

I vaguely object to the common practice of soliciting responses, and implying that the results will/may be meaningful, without simultaneously precommitting to a particular mapping of raw results to inferred meaning. (The precommitment can be done while keeping the mapping secret, by using a hash algorithm.)

[-]Oligopsony13y20

Okay, I'll bite:

0) I'm not sure it's best that anyone exist at all, but for the sake of a post let's assume they should.

1) Assuming the resources (which seem to be implied in the ability to change the gender ratio in the first place) nix men entirely. I'm probably more skeptical than the average LWer that traditionally male pathologies are inherent to my sex, but there's a decent chance I'm wrong about that, so there's that. More importantly this gives public institutions veto power over the creation of new people in a way that isn't bodily intrusive.

2) Pe... (read more)

[-]Shmi13y20

Douglas Adams mouses

Mice.

[-]buybuydandavis13y20

We have probably barely tapped human potential in terms of education, dissemination of best practices, physical training, mental training, rationality training, diet, and drugs. These could make huge inroads into mental illness, motivation, learning, and thereby mental health and productivity.

[-]pleeppleep13y20

I love it when someone asks the community for creative ideas. They're always interesting.

Without the possibility of technologic advancement, I don't really feel that utopia is a worthwhile goal. Every version just feels like stagnation, which bothers me. I don't see much point in life if everything's all planned out.

And any plan we could propose would eventually fall out of fashion unless measures were taken to prevent societal change. Some configurations are more preferable than others, sure, but in the end the deal is radical, unprecedented change, cy... (read more)

3Raemon13y

He didn't specify stasis.

-5pleeppleep13y

[-]Douglas_Reay13y00

Many of the utopias from the golden age of science fiction (long before nanotech) had recognisable humans, who were not immortal and whose robots were good butlers, at best. While for the sake of plot they generally had faster than light travel, that isn't actually a requirement for the human species to spread out to the stars.

If you'll grant sub-light interstellar travel, then all these become possible. Let groups bid on planets, set a pre-requisite that the group survive in a bio-sphere for 3 generations, as a test to see if their proposed society is s... (read more)

[-][anonymous]13y00

*Reads limitations closely*

So super-MRI's and super-computers are fair game? That is fairly mundane tech. Then it only takes some fairly mundane tinkering with micro-neuro-anatomy to make uploads.

Otherwise...

Make humans more able to do stuff. More true to what humans want, for better or for worse. This ranges from more convenient biology to more convenient epistemological and motivational psychology.

Everybody is a bayesian genius with a perfect body who lives to be 200+ years old.

[-]Nighzmarquls13y00

1. Take apart the earth, use it to build a fleet of smaller habitats that make use of the materials to generate maximum sustainable habitat space.

2. Distribute these habitats into combinations of nature preserve biomes, agricultural systems and urban centers.

3. All habitats should be given sufficient technological infrastructure to power all their life support with some extra. All habitats should have internet capabilities and backup stores of all human knowledge.

4. Redistribute the population of earth into their preferred habitat with the kinds of people ... (read more)

[-]J_Taylor13y00

http://lesswrong.com/lw/5dl/is_kiryas_joel_an_unhappy_place/

A possibility worth investigating.

[-]knb13y-20

Of course, the idea that there could ever be one utopia is an absurdity. People have different values and preferences and thrive under different circumstances. It is clear that Less Wrongers do not understand this, and therefore they should not be in the Utopia-business in the first place.

5[anonymous]13y

Which is stated in the OP and is kindof the point of the post. What would be your utopia? Does everyone just kill each other because our values are utterly nonreconcilable? Or can we mostly agree that we can do better than that? If you can't do "perfect" go for "best"

2kodos9613y

I strongly agree with this part: but stongly disagree with this part: EY's CEV concept seems to explicitly take this into account. That's not to say I don't have my own objections to it, but I don't see this as one of them.

[-]Thomas13y-40

The people's nature will evolve anyway. As everything else. Having many billion people alive means, our genome acquires new bits every day. A fast biological evolution from now on, would just happen anyway.

During this time, I see no utopias possible. At least not for a longer time.

Human life, as life on Earth, is boring/pointless without the Singularity, from my point of view.

Sometimes I ask my postmodernist friend, who rejects and is horrified by the techno rapture of any kind, what is HIS utopia?

A better care for the nature, a lot of (Slovenian) culture ... then I am horrified!

Yes. No SAI, no nanotech, no Galaxy transformation .. makes me sick.

8JoshuaZ13y

Can you expand on this? I'm not sure I see how one would reach this sort of value system. Even if we only say double human lifespans that seems better than nothing. And even if things end up being pretty similar to how they are now, that won't mean there won't be interesting things to examine. Whether P = NP and whether the Riemann hypothesis is true, and whether there's any FTL travel, whether supersymmetry is correct, all seem to be interesting questions whether or not there's a Singularity. It seems like comments like this are the sort of thing that makes a lot of transhumanists and singulitarians pattern match to being religious. A major part of many religious outlooks is the certainty that things are meaningless without their specific religion. Some forms of Christianity have been made this into an important theological claim, and other religions make similar claims.

1DaFranker13y

Aaarrrgh, The Enemy! I think the key point is that the exclusion of transhuman and posthuman tech makes the scope of possible futures orders of magnitude less appealing, even at maxima, than that of possible futures that do include such tech. The jump from there to outright refusal to consider such futures and a rejection of their utility seems a bit extreme, but I would never have made or seen a parallel with religion until someone else mentioned it. IME, the grandparent comment would mostly / most frequently be interpreted (even by random people) as "Hey, wouldn't it be really really awesome if we had X? The rest / real life seems pretty boring by comparison."

8Raemon13y

I think you need to be leaving yourself a way bigger line of retreat here.

2DaFranker13y

Agreed. Hell, a significant element of this article seems to be about making lines of retreat, and then the grandparent says "No." with more sophisticated verbiage. (though points go for examples and specifying what he was talking about)

3[anonymous]13y

Human life could be just as boring and pointless with the singularity. Most anything humans value probably decays into nihilism when you widen or narrow the scope sufficiently.

[+]Armok_GoB13y-60

[+]JoshuaFox13y-90

[+]Shmi13y-140

LESSWRONG
LW

LESSWRONG
LW

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Absent Transhumanism and Transformative Technologies, Which Utopia is Left?

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