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Forecasting & Prediction
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Applied to
Now THIS is forecasting: understanding Epoch’s Direct Approach
by
Elliot_Mckernon
1d
ago
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Applied to
Transfer Learning in Humans
by
niplav
13d
ago
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Applied to
SFS: Foundations of Forecasting
by
Raemon
17d
ago
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A Gentle Introduction to Risk Frameworks Beyond Forecasting
by
pendingsurvival
23d
ago
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Applied to
[EA xpost] The Rationale-Shaped Hole At The Heart Of Forecasting
by
dschwarz
1mo
ago
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Applied to
Thousands of malicious actors on the future of AI misuse
by
Zershaaneh Qureshi
1mo
ago
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Applied to
How to best measure if and to what degree you’re too pessimistic or too optimistic?
by
CstineSublime
1mo
ago
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Applied to
Timelines to Transformative AI: an investigation
by
Zershaaneh Qureshi
1mo
ago
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Applied to
[Linkpost] Vague Verbiage in Forecasting
by
trevor
1mo
ago
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Applied to
User-inclination-guessing algorithms: registering a goal
by
ProgramCrafter
1mo
ago
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Applied to
Carlo: uncertainty analysis in Google Sheets
by
Mo Putera
2mo
ago
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Applied to
Results from an Adversarial Collaboration on AI Risk (FRI)
by
Forecasting Research Institute
2mo
ago
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Applied to
Self-Resolving Prediction Markets
by
jacobjacob
2mo
ago
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Applied to
The World in 2029
by
Nathan Young
2mo
ago
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Applied to
Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models
by
Fred Zhang
2mo
ago
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Applied to
Fatebook for Chrome: Make and embed forecasts anywhere on the web
by
Adam B
3mo
ago
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Applied to
Scenario planning for AI x-risk
by
Corin Katzke
3mo
ago
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Applied to
Running a Prediction Market Mafia Game
by
Arjun Panickssery
3mo
ago
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Applied to
The economy is mostly newbs (strat predictions)
by
lukehmiles
3mo
ago