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Pascal's Mugging

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Pascal's Mugging
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Pascal's mugging refers to a thought experiment in decision theory, a finite analogue of Pascal's wager.

Suppose someone comes to me and says, "Give me five dollars, or I'll use my magic powers from outside the Matrix to run a Turing machine that simulates and kills 3^^^^3 people. – Pascal's Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities

See also: Decision theory, Counterfactual Mugging, Shut up and multiply, Expected Utility, Utilitarianism, Scope Insensitivity...

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Posts tagged Pascal's Mugging
Most Relevant
3
88Pascal's Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities
Eliezer Yudkowsky
15y
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70Pascal's Muggle: Infinitesimal Priors and Strong Evidence
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55The Lifespan Dilemma
Eliezer Yudkowsky
13y
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45Pascal's Muggle (short version)
Eliezer Yudkowsky
9y
53
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39Against the Linear Utility Hypothesis and the Leverage Penalty
AlexMennen
4y
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1
36Observed Pascal's Mugging[anonymous]11y
61
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34Model Uncertainty, Pascalian Reasoning and Utilitarianism
multifoliaterose
11y
155
1
32Expected utility, unlosing agents, and Pascal's mugging
Stuart_Armstrong
8y
54
1
27Probabilities Small Enough To Ignore: An attack on Pascal's Mugging
Kaj_Sotala
7y
176
1
26Tactics against Pascal's Mugging
ArisKatsaris
9y
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1
25Pascal’s Muggle Pays
Zvi
4y
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1
18Pascal's Mugging for bounded utility functions
Benya
9y
49
1
16More on the Linear Utility Hypothesis and the Leverage Prior
AlexMennen
4y
4
1
15Comments on Pascal's Mugging[anonymous]10y
32
1
15A Thought on Pascal's Mugging
komponisto
11y
159
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