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Moloch

Edited by Ruby, Yoav Ravid, et al. last updated 18th Dec 2023

Moloch is the personification of the forces that coerce competing individuals to take actions which, although locally optimal, ultimately lead to situations where everyone is worse off. Moreover, no individual is able to unilaterally break out of the dynamic. The situation is a bad Nash equilibrium. A trap.

It happens when "In some competition optimizing for X, the opportunity arises to throw some other value under the bus for improved X. Those who take it prosper. Those who don’t take it die out. Eventually, everyone’s relative status is about the same as before, but everyone’s absolute status is worse than before. The process continues until all other values that can be traded off have been – in other words, until human ingenuity cannot possibly figure out a way to make things any worse." - Scott Alexander

One example of a Molochian dynamic is a Red Queen race between scientists who must continually spend more time writing grant applications just to keep up with their peers doing the same. Through unavoidable competition, they have all lost time while not ending up with any more grant money. And any scientist who unilaterally tried to not engage in the competition would soon be replaced by one who still does. If they all promised to cap their grant writing time, everyone would face an incentive to defect.

The topic of Moloch receives a formal treatment in the sequence Inadequate Equilibria, particularly in the chapter Moloch's Toolbox.

Origin

Scott Alexander  linked the name to the concept in his eponymous post, Meditations on Moloch.  The post intersperses lines of Allan Ginsberg's poem, Howl, with multiples examples of the dynamic including: the Prisoner's Dilemma, dollar auctions, fish farming story, Malthusian trap, capitalism, two-income trap, agriculture, arms races, races to the bottom, education system, science, and government corruption and corporate welfare.

From Allan Ginsberg's Howl:

What sphinx of cement and aluminum bashed open their skulls and ate up their brains and imagination?
Moloch! Solitude! Filth! Ugliness! Ashcans and unobtainable dollars! Children screaming under the stairways! Boys sobbing in armies! Old men weeping in the parks!
Moloch! Moloch! Nightmare of Moloch! Moloch the loveless! Mental Moloch! Moloch the heavy judger of men!
Moloch the incomprehensible prison! Moloch the crossbone soulless jailhouse and Congress of sorrows! Moloch whose buildings are judgment! Moloch the vast stone of war! Moloch the stunned governments!
Moloch whose mind is pure machinery! Moloch whose blood is running money! Moloch whose fingers are ten armies! Moloch whose breast is a cannibal dynamo! Moloch whose ear is a smoking tomb!
Moloch whose eyes are a thousand blind windows! Moloch whose skyscrapers stand in the long streets like endless Jehovahs! Moloch whose factories dream and croak in the fog! Moloch whose smoke-stacks and antennae crown the cities!
Moloch whose love is endless oil and stone! Moloch whose soul is electricity and banks! Moloch whose poverty is the specter of genius! Moloch whose fate is a cloud of sexless hydrogen! Moloch whose name is the Mind!

See also: Eldritch Analogies, Game Theory, Group Rationality, Social Reality

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Posts tagged Moloch
199Meditations On Moloch
Scott Alexander
11y
10
154Moloch's Toolbox (1/2)
Eliezer Yudkowsky
8y
70
173Studies On Slack
Scott Alexander
5y
34
189Lost Purposes
Eliezer Yudkowsky
18y
79
80Moloch games
Chris van Merwijk
5y
9
285What Multipolar Failure Looks Like, and Robust Agent-Agnostic Processes (RAAPs)
Ω
Andrew_Critch
4y
Ω
65
81Mazes Sequence Summary
Zvi
5y
2
118Moloch's Toolbox (2/2)
Eliezer Yudkowsky
8y
56
191Moloch Hasn’t Won
Zvi
6y
41
110Failing to fix a dangerous intersection
alyssavance
3y
17
91A Taijitu symbol for Moloch and Slack
B Jacobs
5y
3
53The Choice Transition
owencb, Raymond Douglas
10mo
4
344Universal Basic Income and Poverty
Eliezer Yudkowsky
1y
143
141An Equilibrium of No Free Energy
Eliezer Yudkowsky
8y
50
123Prisoners' Dilemma with Costs to Modeling
Ω
Scott Garrabrant
7y
Ω
20
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