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Underconfidence

Edited by bjr, Grognor, PeerInfinity, Vladimir_Nesov, et al. last updated 17th Mar 2012

Underconfidence is the state of being more uncertain than is justified, given your priors and the evidence you are aware of.

Blog posts

  • "I don't know."
  • The Sin of Underconfidence
  • The Importance of Self-Doubt by multifoliaterose

See also

  • Overconfidence
  • Modesty
  • Fallacy of gray
  • I don't know
  • Motivated skepticism
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Posts tagged Underconfidence
120The Sin of Underconfidence
Eliezer Yudkowsky
16y
187
117Say Wrong Things
Gordon Seidoh Worley
6y
13
143Irrational Modesty
Tomás B.
4y
6
210A Sketch of Good Communication
Ben Pace
7y
36
83Status Regulation and Anxious Underconfidence
Eliezer Yudkowsky
8y
18
71Against Modest Epistemology
Eliezer Yudkowsky
8y
49
47Against Shooting Yourself in the Foot
Eliezer Yudkowsky
8y
3
45The Limits of Intelligence and Me: Domain Expertise
ChrisHallquist
12y
79
37Simultaneous Overconfidence and Underconfidence
abramdemski
10y
6
28The Importance of Self-Doubt
multifoliaterose
15y
746
18A note about calibration of confidence
jbay
10y
35
12How confident should we be?
[anonymous]14y
19
36The underappreciated value of original thinking below the frontier
Emrik
4y
2
16Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo.
silentbob
2y
5
7Thinking without priors?
Q Home
3y
0
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