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Inferential Distance

Edited by Scott Alexander, Ruby, plex, Grognor, et al. last updated 27th Oct 2021

Inferential Distance between two people with respect to an item of knowledge is the amount of steps or concepts a person needs to share before they can successfully communicate the object level point. This can be thought of as the missing foundation or building block concepts needed to think clearly about a specific thing.

In Expecting Short Inferential Distances, Eliezer Yudkowsky posits that humans systematically underestimate inferential distances.

And if you think you can explain the concept of “systematically underestimated inferential distances” briefly, in just a few words, I’ve got some sad news for you . . . – Expecting Short Inferential Distances

Example: Evidence for Evolution

Explaining the evidence for the theory of evolution to a physicist would be easy; even if the physicist didn't already know about evolution, they would understand the concepts of evidence, Occam's razor, naturalistic explanations, and the general orderly nature of the universe. Explaining the evidence for the theory of evolution to someone without a science background would be much harder. Before even mentioning the specific evidence for evolution, you would have to explain the concept of evidence, why some kinds of evidence are more valuable than others, what does and doesn't count as evidence, and so on. This would be unlikely to work during a short conversation.

There is a short inferential distance between you and the physicist; there is a very long inferential distance between you and the person without any science background. Many members of Less Wrong believe that expecting short inferential distances is a classic error. It is also a very difficult problem to solve, since most people will feel offended if you explicitly say that there is too great an inferential distance between you to explain a theory properly. Some people have attempted to explain this through evolutionary psychology: in the ancestral environment, there was minimal difference in knowledge between people, and therefore no need to worry about inferential distances.

External Links

  • Why It's Hard to Explain Things: Inferential Distance by Peter Hurford
  • How all human communication fails, except by accident, or a commentary of Wiio's laws

See Also

  • General knowledge
  • Modesty argument
  • Illusion of transparency
  • Absurdity heuristic
  • Common Knowledge
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Posts tagged Inferential Distance
400Expecting Short Inferential Distances
Eliezer Yudkowsky
18y
106
182Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You
Eliezer Yudkowsky
18y
52
126Double Illusion of Transparency
Eliezer Yudkowsky
18y
33
314Great minds might not think alike
Eric Neyman
5y
45
119Write a Thousand Roads to Rome
Screwtape
8y
17
-16Presumptive Listening: sticking to familiar concepts and missing the outer reasoning paths
Remmelt
3y
8
112Explainers Shoot High. Aim Low!
Eliezer Yudkowsky
18y
35
43Expansive translations: considerations and possibilities
ozziegooen
5y
15
440Generalizing From One Example
Scott Alexander
16y
423
103Karate Kid and Realistic Expectations for Disagreement Resolution
Raemon
6y
23
103Zetetic explanation
Benquo
7y
150
93Understanding is translation
cousin_it
7y
23
81Inferential silence
Kaj_Sotala
12y
58
22Starting point for calculating inferential distance?
JenniferRM
15y
9
14An Intuitive Explanation of Inferential Distance
RichardJActon
8y
6
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