This post is a not a so secret analogy for the AI Alignment problem. Via a fictional dialog, Eliezer explores and counters common questions to the Rocket Alignment Problem as approached by the Mathematics of Intentional Rocketry Institute.
MIRI researchers will tell you they're worried that "right now, nobody can tell you how to point your rocket’s nose such that it goes to the moon, nor indeed any prespecified celestial destination."
Concerns over AI safety and calls for government control over the technology are highly correlated but they should not be.
There are two major forms of AI risk: misuse and misalignment. Misuse risks come from humans using AIs as tools in dangerous ways. Misalignment risks arise if AIs take their own actions at the expense of human interests.
Governments are poor stewards for both types of risk. Misuse regulation is like the regulation of any other technology. There are reasonable rules that the government might set, but omission bias and incentives to protect small but well organized groups at the expense of everyone else will lead to lots of costly ones too. Misalignment regulation is not in the Overton window for any government. Governments do not have strong incentives...
I've found an interesting "bug" in my cognition: a reluctance to rate subjective experiences on a subjective scale useful for comparing them. When I fuzz this reluctance against many possible rating scales, I find that it seems to arise from the comparison-power itself.
The concrete case is that I've spun up a habit tracker on my phone and I'm trying to build a routine of gathering some trivial subjective-wellbeing and lifestyle-factor data into it. My prototype of this system includes tracking the high and low points of my mood through the day as recalled ...
Here's an example for you: I used to turn the faucet on while going to the bathroom, thinking it was due simply to having a preference for somewhat-masking the sound of my elimination habits from my housemates, then one day I walked into the bathroom listening to something-or-other via earphones and forgetting to turn the faucet on only to realize about halfway through that apparently I actually didn't much care about such masking, previously being able to hear myself just seemed to trigger some minor anxiety about it I'd failed to recognize, though its ab...
Post for a somewhat more general audience than the modal LessWrong reader, but gets at my actual thoughts on the topic.
In 2018 OpenAI defeated the world champions of Dota 2, a major esports game. This was hot on the heels of DeepMind’s AlphaGo performance against Lee Sedol in 2016, achieving superhuman Go performance way before anyone thought that might happen. AI benchmarks were being cleared at a pace which felt breathtaking at the time, papers were proudly published, and ML tools like Tensorflow (released in 2015) were coming online. To people already interested in AI, it was an exciting era. To everyone else, the world was unchanged.
Now Saturday Night Live sketches use sober discussions of AI risk as the backdrop for their actual jokes, there are hundreds...
Or to point to a situation where LLMs exhibit unsafe behavior in a realistic usage scenario. We don't say
a problem with discussions of fire safety is that a direct counterargument to "balloon-framed wood buildings are safe" is to tell arsonists the best way that they can be lit on fire
This is a linkpost for On Duct Tape and Fence Posts.
Eliezer writes about fence post security. When people think to themselves "in the current system, what's the weakest point?", and then dedicate their resources to shoring up the defenses at that point, not realizing that after the first small improvement in that area, there's likely now a new weakest point somewhere else.
Fence post security happens preemptively, when the designers of the system fixate on the most salient aspect(s) and don't consider the rest of the system. But this sort of fixation can also happen in retrospect, in which case it manifest a little differently but has similarly deleterious effects.
Consider a car that starts shaking whenever it's driven. It's uncomfortable, so the owner gets a pillow to put...
BTW as a concrete note, you may want to sub in 15 - ceil(log10(n))
instead of just "15", which really only matters if you're dealing with numbers above 10 (e.g. 1000 is represented as 0x408F400000000000, while the next float 0x408F400000000001 is 1000.000000000000114, which differs in the 13th decimal place).
Over the last couple of years, mechanistic interpretability has seen substantial progress. Part of this progress has been enabled by the identification of superposition as a key barrier to understanding neural networks (Elhage et al., 2022) and the identification of sparse autoencoders as a solution to superposition (Sharkey et al., 2022; Cunningham et al., 2023; Bricken et al., 2023).
From our current vantage point, I think there’s a relatively clear roadmap toward a world where mechanistic interpretability is useful for safety. This post outlines my views on what progress in mechanistic interpretability looks like and what I think is achievable by the field in the next 2+ years. It represents a rough outline of what I plan to work on in the near future.
My thinking and work is, of course,...
We propose a simple fix: Use instead of , which seems to be a Pareto improvement over (at least in some real models, though results might be mixed) in terms of the number of features required to achieve a given reconstruction error.
When I was discussing better sparsity penalties with Lawrence, and the fact that I observed some instability in in toy models of super-position, he pointed out that the gradient of norm explodes near zero, meaning that features with "small errors" that cause them to h...
So the usual refrain from Zvi and others is that the specter of China beating us to the punch with AGI is not real because limits on compute, etc. I think Zvi has tempered his position on this in light of Meta's promise to release the weights of its 400B+ model. Now there is word that SenseTime just released a model that beats GPT-4 Turbo on various metrics. Of course, maybe Meta chooses not to release its big model, and maybe SenseTime is bluffing--I would point out though that Alibaba's Qwen model seems to do pretty okay in the arena...anyway, my point is that I don't think the "what if China" argument can be dismissed as quickly as some people on here seem to be ready to do.
It's actually worse than what you say -- the first two datasets studied here have privileged basis 45 degrees off from the standard one, which is why the SAEs seem to continue learning the same 45 degree off features. Unpacking this sentence a bit: it turns out that both datasets have principle components 45 degrees off from the basis the authors present as natural, and so as SAE in a sense are trying to capture the principle directions of variation in the activation space, they will also naturally use features 45 degrees off from the "natural" basis. ...
Hello less wrong community. My name is Myles, and for the last three months I have been working on a collaborative website for solving large and complex problems. The alignment problem is the big problem my website hopes to solve.
To start from a first principles perspective, we can view problems as essentially goals in which we agents strive to grasp how to complete. Once we have gained a solid understanding of how to complete said goal, we consider the problem solved. Here is an example:
Even though I haven't necessarily gone out to get milk, I consider this problem to be solved. As in, I don't need...